The precise time and place of an earthquake cannot be predicted - that is what you will hear from any seismologist charged with monitoring the grinding and shuddering of the earth's surface in geologically active regions. But they can state with confidence in which areas there is a very high probability of a big earthquake, within a few decades. Read more
Istanbul, historically known as Byzantium and Constantinople is the largest city in Turkey and 3rd largest city proper in the world with a population of 13 million, also making it the largest metropolitan city proper in Europe and the second largest metropolitan area in Europe by population. Recent construction of the Marmaray tunnel unearthed a Neolithic settlement underneath Yenikap on Istanbul's peninsula. Dating back to the 7th millennium BC, before the Bosphorus was even formed, the discovery indicated that the peninsula was settled thousands of years earlier than previously thought Istanbul is situated near the North Anatolian Fault on the boundary between the African and Eurasian plates. This fault zone, which runs from northern Anatolia to the Sea of Marmara, has been responsible for several deadly earthquakes throughout the city's history. Seismologists say the risk of a 7.6-magnitude earthquake striking Istanbul by 2030 is greater than sixty percent. Read more