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Post Info TOPIC: Tropical Cyclone Jaya


L

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RE: Tropical Cyclone Jaya
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Tropical Cyclone Jaya is forecast to strike land in Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently


Analalava (14.7 S, 47.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 85% currently


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L

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Tropical Cyclone Jaya has made landfall in Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)

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L

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Intense Tropical Cyclone Jaya is forecast to strike land in Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours


    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours


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L

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Still recovering from the cyclone which incurred heavy losses in lives and property in northeast parts of Madagascar two weeks ago, another cyclone is to hit the same area again on Tuesday.
According to Leon Guy Razafindrakoto, an engineer at the Weather Forecast Department in Antananarivo, the cyclone, Jaya, was 400 km from northeast coast by 9 a.m. local time (06:00 GMT) Monday morning.
With a speed of 20 kph towards the west, Jaya brought a wind of 160 kph, Razafindrakoto said, adding that it would reach the northeast around 4 p.m. (13:00 GMT) on Tuesday.
The tropical cyclone Jaya not only represents a serious menace to the Indian Ocean island country but to the scheduled national referendum Wednesday on revision of the constitution.
According to Midi, a daily newspaper published on Monday, a lot of voters would not be able to go to the polls due to the threatened cyclone.
Jaya could aggravate the situation in the area which was hit in mid March by the cyclone storm, codemaned Indlala, said the daily.
Statistics provided by the executive secretary of the National Council of Management of Risk and Catastrophe showed that 88 people have died of the natural disaster while tens of thousands were left homeless by Indlala.

Source Xinhua


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L

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Tropical Cyclone Jaya is forecast to strike land in  Madagascar.
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours


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