The dark clouds that tip rain on California during the winter and spring may have an even darker side. They seem to bring earthquakes in their wake. Lizet Christiansen of the US Geological Survey in Menlo Park, California, and her team analysed 5337 low to medium-strength earthquakes recorded along the San Andreas fault near the town of Parkfield from 1984 to 2005. They found that the number of tremors increased appreciably from August to January, about five months after the rains stopped
A Canadian scientist says she is involved in an international effort to create 10-year earthquake forecasts for several nations. Kristy Tiampo of the University of Western Ontario -- the earthquake hazards assessment chairwoman of Canada's Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council -- says she and colleagues hope to begin producing such 10-year earthquake forecasts within fve years. The forecasts will be used to suggest to governments which areas should shore up buildings and to determine the order of preparations.
It's long been known that Vancouver Island is slowly moving eastward toward the mainland. But suddenly, the data showed the movement was reversed. Eventually, scientists linked this reversal of movement to the tremor events. Right now, Dr. Rogers noted, Vancouver Island is again moving west. The scientists' findings were presented four years ago at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco. Since then, dozens of scientists from around the globe have begun tracking tremor events. One day, one of these tremor events will cause the fault line to rupture, he said, resulting in an earthquake magnitude measuring as high as 9.
Scientists have alerted British Columbia's emergency-planning department to the possibility of a catastrophic earthquake striking the province's southwest coast next week. While the probability of a quake is still low, rapid strides in earthquake detection have given federal scientists with the Pacific Geoscience Centre on Vancouver Island greater confidence in their ability to predict when and where one will occur. Garry Rogers, a seismologist at the centre, compared the current earthquake odds to the dangers of driving a car.
A new method of stress analysis in earthquake research has been developed by FOI, the Swedish Defence Research Agency. The method is a breakthrough for better earthquake warnings. The new method of analysis makes it possible to estimate the complete stress tensor and monitor changes in the magnitude of stress and the instability of faults, which roots the analysis in physics in a manner that earthquake methods normally lack. This makes the method more generally valid, thus facilitating efforts to provide warnings. Tests with Icelandic micro-tremors from 1990 to 2005 yielded excellent results, with the major earthquakes occurring precisely when they were predicted by the stress analysis. This experience from Iceland therefore indicates that the sites of coming earthquakes can be determined years before they occur. The Icelandic seismological network where the metering took place started as a Nordic collaborative project in 1988 and has continued as the largest EU project devoted to earthquake warnings. In 2006 the network comprised some 45 metering stations covering most of Iceland. The number of micro-tremors analysed was about 250,000.
Japanese researchers have discovered a new and sluggish kind of seismic activity that helps reveal the inner workings of faults capable of producing massive earthquakes like the one that generated the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami.
Japanese researchers have discovered a new and sluggish kind of seismic activity that helps reveal the inner workings of faults capable of producing massive earthquakes like the one that generated the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami. The so-called "very low frequency" earthquakes join two other types of slow quakes previously detected in the deep portion of subduction zones, where one section of the Earth's crust dives under another. The new kind of seismic activity can itself produce earthquakes of magnitudes 3 to 3.5, but the temblors are too slow to produce shaking felt by humans.
We report on the very-low-frequency earthquakes occurring in the transition zone of the subducting plate interface along the Nankai subduction zone in southwest Japan. Seismic waves generated by very-low-frequency earthquakes with seismic moment magnitudes of 3.1-3.5 predominantly show a long period of approximately 20 s. The seismicity of very-low-frequency earthquakes accompanies and migrates with the activity of deep low-frequency tremors and slow slip events. The coincidence of these three phenomena improves the detection and characterization of slow earthquakes, which are thought to increase the stress on up-dip megathrust earthquake rupture zones.
A strong earthquake rocked a large swath of Indonesia's Sumatra Island on Tuesday, 5th July 2005, shaking buildings and causing panic. Officials were still measuring the quake which struck off the west coast of the island at 0152 GMT (0852 local time).. "It was strongly felt" - Budi Waluyu, government geophysical and meteorological agency.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Geological Survey issued a preliminary report placing saying the quake measured 6.8. There were no immediate reports of damage. Callers to el-Shinta radio station from Medan, a large city on Sumatra, said tall buildings shook as a result of the quake
Two moderate earthquakes shook a Mediterranean resort and a town in central Turkey on Sunday, but there were no reports of any damage or injuries. The first, an undersea earthquake with a preliminary magnitude of 4.8, shook the resort town of Alanya at 02:46 a.m.; it was centred in the Mediterranean Sea, some 100 kilometres from the shore. The second earthquake, measuring 4.5, hit at 1:54 p.m. was centred in the town of Cay, in Afyon province. Afyon is some 250 kilometres southwest of Ankara, the capital. Quakes are frequent in Turkey, which lies atop active fault lines. Two massive quakes killed some 18,000 people in 1999.