Floundering El Niņos Make for Fickle Forecasts Since May 2009, the tropical Pacific Ocean has switched from a cool pattern of ocean circulation known as La Niņa to her warmer sibling, El Niņo. This cyclical warming of the ocean waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific generally occurs every three to seven years, and is linked with changes in the strength of the trade winds. El Niņo can affect weather worldwide, including the Atlantic hurricane season, Asian monsoon season and northern hemisphere winter storm season. But while scientists agree that El Niņo is back, there's less consensus about its future strength. One of the characteristics that signal a developing El Niņo is a change in average sea surface height compared to normal sea level. The NASA/French Space Agency Jason-1 and Ocean Surface Topography Mission/Jason-2 satellites continuously observe these changes in average sea surface height, producing near-global maps of the ocean's surface topography every 10 days.