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Post Info TOPIC: Asteroid 2010 JU39
Blobrana


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RE: Asteroid 2010 JU39
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Orbital elements:
2010 JU39                                           PHA, Earth MOID = 0.0056 AU
Epoch 2011 Feb. 8.0 TT = JDT 2455600.5                  MPC
M 100.69698              (2000.0)            P               Q
n   1.11878618     Peri.  311.36130     +0.54310694     -0.59918829
a   0.9189770      Node    95.21179     +0.83059138     +0.48607859
e   0.5462589      Incl.   36.20433     -0.12309675     +0.63616114
P   0.88           H   19.5           G   0.15           U   5

MPEC 2011 - H54



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Blobrana


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Removed as an Earth Impact Risk.

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Blobrana


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The 330 - 750 metre wide asteroid 2010 JU39 will pass (0.430 AU) the Earth-Moon system on the 25th June, 2011.

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Blobrana


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2010 JU39
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 1
Palermo Scale (maximum) -1.87
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -1.60
Impact Probability (cumulative) 2.5e-05
Number of Potential Impacts 77
Vimpact 25.80 km/s
Vinfinity 23.27 km/s
H 19.5
Diameter 0.439 km
Mass 1.1e+11 kg
Energy 8.9e+03 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
28 observations spanning 7.1284 days
(2010-May-09.33998 to 2010-May-16.46842)



-- Edited by Blobrana on Wednesday 19th of May 2010 02:31:08 PM

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Blobrana


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2010 JU39
Earth Impact Table
Date Distance Width Sigma
Impact		 Sigma
LOV		 Stretch
LOV		 Impact
Probability		 Impact
Energy		 Palermo
Scale		 Torino
Scale
YYYY-MM-DD.DD (rEarth) (rEarth) (rEarth) (MT)
2035-06-26.50 4.68 4.41e+00 0.834 -1.79082 7.46e+03 1.7e-06 8.97e+03 -2.47 0
2042-06-26.28 0.34 4.42e+00 0.000 -1.78648 2.08e+06 1.1e-08 8.96e+03 -4.78 0
2043-06-26.43 17.55 4.25e+00 3.892 -2.14195 9.31e+03 2.8e-10 9.08e+03 -6.38 0
2043-06-26.53 1.97 4.41e+00 0.219 -1.80552 2.22e+05 9.0e-08 8.97e+03 -3.88 0
2050-06-26.33 2.55 4.39e+00 0.353 -1.77531 3.78e+05 5.2e-08 8.96e+03 -4.20 0
2052-06-25.82 2.45 4.39e+00 0.330 -1.79595 3.88e+06 5.0e-09 8.97e+03 -5.24 0
2057-06-26.10 5.03 4.37e+00 0.921 -1.78223 1.74e+06 7.0e-09 8.97e+03 -5.15 0
2058-06-26.37 1.18 5.25e+00 0.034 -1.69566 3.35e+03 6.6e-06 8.93e+03 -2.18 1
2058-06-26.38 0.04 3.30e+00 0.000 -1.66919 2.76e+03 1.3e-05 8.92e+03 -1.87 1


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Blobrana


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2010 JU39
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 1
Palermo Scale (maximum) -1.87
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -1.61
Impact Probability (cumulative) 2.4e-05
Number of Potential Impacts 66
Vimpact 25.80 km/s
Vinfinity 23.27 km/s
H 19.5
Diameter 0.439 km
Mass 1.1e+11 kg
Energy 8.9e+03 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
28 observations spanning 7.1284 days
(2010-May-09.33998 to 2010-May-16.46842)



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Blobrana


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Posts: 131433
Date:
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2010 JU39
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -2.99
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -2.72
Impact Probability (cumulative) 2.0e-06
Number of Potential Impacts 74
Vimpact 25.78 km/s
Vinfinity 23.25 km/s
H 19.5
Diameter 0.434 km
Mass 1.1e+11 kg
Energy 8.9e+03 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
28 observations spanning 7.1284 days
(2010-May-09.33998 to 2010-May-16.46842)



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Blobrana


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Posts: 131433
Date:
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2010 JU39
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -2.49
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -2.32
Impact Probability (cumulative) 4.1e-06
Number of Potential Impacts 107
Vimpact 25.79 km/s
Vinfinity 23.26 km/s
H 19.4
Diameter 0.440 km
Mass 1.1e+11 kg
Energy 9.1e+03 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
26 observations spanning 6.0510 days
(2010-May-09.33998 to 2010-May-15.39102)



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Blobrana


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Orbital elements:
2010 JU39                                           PHA, Earth MOID = 0.0036 AU
Epoch 2010 July 23.0 TT = JDT 2455400.5                 MPC
M 236.64705              (2000.0)            P               Q
n   1.11646289     Peri.  311.54743     +0.54320190     -0.59493146
a   0.9202515      Node    94.87474     +0.83023442     +0.48572353
e   0.5485943      Incl.   36.48365     -0.12506999     +0.64041331
P   0.88           H   19.5           G   0.15           U   9

MPEC 2010 - J64

2010 JU39
Earth Impact Risk Summary
Torino Scale (maximum) 0
Palermo Scale (maximum) -2.03
Palermo Scale (cumulative) -1.87
Impact Probability (cumulative) 3.3e-06
Number of Potential Impacts 293
Vimpact 25.88 km/s
Vinfinity 23.36 km/s
H 19.5
Diameter 0.432 km
Mass 1.1e+11 kg
Energy 8.8e+03 MT
all above are mean values
weighted by impact probability
Analysis based on
22 observations spanning 1.8767 days
(2010-May-09.33998 to 2010-May-11.21668)



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